A few months back I wrote that Barack Obama would never step foot in the White House as President of the United States. In “No Go for Barack Obama” the main idea I presented would be that if Obama was to win the Democratic nomination, he would be destroyed by the right wing and if that did not do the job, he would be assassinated near election day. At the time, Obama was giving speeches on raised platforms and did not have the security detail he now has. Although, I do not believe the Secret Service can keep him safe, I now believe it is time to give Obama a second look.
And so, I begin this new blog format “5grafs” with revisiting the Obama candidacy.
1
Can Obama win?
Barack Obama can definitely win the Democratic nomination. He is on a roll of momentum and energy unseen in recent years. The energy of his personality and the power of his words and ideals and his very campaign channels the energy, emotion, and power of the Kennedys. Even Caroline Kennedy came out and voiced this. After a hard fought campaign that may last until the convention, Obama will become the nominee of the Democratic Party. And he can win the White House as well. Despite recent polls suggesting McCain would be victorious in a national campaign, Obama will win. He will win once all the efforts of the Democratic Party are focused on the general election. McCain has negatives that will arise including his wrongheaded Iraq war policy, his ignorance about the economy, and his willingness to continue many of the disastrous policies of the Bush administration.
2
Will he survive?
This becomes the crucial question. My heart pulls me to want to say yes. My head cautions me against becoming too hopeful. Obviously, this is a question that cannot be answered and time will tell.
3
Hope
Barack Obama’s candidacy and the success seen so far (he’s leading in delegates, popular votes, contests won, and is gaining in superdelegates each week) is about hope. The thought of an intellectual black man winning the highest office in our nation and having that level of influence on the world is about hope. Think of the respect our nation would gain in the world, the moment Obama takes the oath of office. The message would be: the oppressed can succeed. What a change that would be from the Bush administration which has done so much to increase resentment and hatred of our nation. Obama brings hope to the world and to this nation that we can be a better nation and that the hostilities and tensions in the world can be resolved.
4
Words
Despite Hillary Clinton’s comment about “change you can Xerox,” and Obama using his own words, words are powerful, in and of, themselves. Words are how we communicate a message. The words in the United States Declaration of Independence led to the birth of this nation. The words in Abraham Lincoln’s Emancipation Proclamation led to the freeing of the slaves. The words of Martin Luther King, Jr. in the 1960’s inspired the actions that brought about the changes of the Civil Rights Movement. Words are powerful. Obama is a deep thinker and eloquent speaker. His words are needed in these turbulent times.
5
Why Not Hillary?
I voted for Bill Clinton twice. I believe he was a great president and accomplished many positive things in his time in office including balancing the budget and providing a budget surplus by 2000. But Bill Clinton is not running for office. I find Hillary an intriguing candidate, but at the same time, I believe the time of the Clintons has passed. On a more practical level, her baggage and negatives would galvanize Republicans and bring them to the polls, even for the likes of John McCain. I do not dislike Clinton in any tangible way, but she is not electable and the Democrats desperately need to take back the White House. With Al Gore obviously not entering the race, Obama is the best chance for the Democrats.